A live composite Bitcoin cycle score that aggregates the on-chain and technical indicators which have historically marked bear market bottoms — MVRV Z-Score, NUPL, Puell Multiple, Realized Price, Fear & Greed, and the 200-week moving average — into a single 0–100 read of where we are in the cycle.
The most reliable historical signals include a low MVRV Z-Score, NUPL entering capitulation, price losing the Realized Price, sustained Extreme Fear, and a touch of the 200-week moving average.
The MVRV Z-Score compares Bitcoin’s market value to its realized value. Low readings have historically coincided with major bear market bottoms and buying opportunities.
No single indicator predicts the exact bottom. But when several bottom indicators align at the same time, the probability of being near the cycle low is at its highest.